(Bloomberg) — U.S. equity futures gained, while Asian stocks were mixed in thin trading as investors mulled the impact of the omicron variant on the global recovery. Shares of China Evergrande Group were suspended in Hong Kong.
S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 contracts advanced at the start of the new year, with major markets including Australia, Japan and China all shut for holidays. Equities rallied in South Korea and Taiwan, but fell in Hong Kong, where trading in Evergrande shares were halted with no reason given, and developer and technology sectors led declines.
There’s “a positive setup into 2022 with Fed and Covid headwinds to ease, and China policy tailwinds,” JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists led by Mixo Das in Hong Kong, wrote in a report Sunday. “Overall, our economists see less disruption to economic activity and above trend global growth this quarter, particularly in Asia. In terms of Fed tightening, the moment of peak disruption for markets may also be passing.”
All eyes are on the omicron variant of Covid-19, which is spreading rapidly but also appears to be less severe than some earlier variants based on the rate of hospitalizations. The trajectory of policy by the Federal Reserve and other central banks in also in focus for 2022, particularly as inflation continues to present a challenge. Many strategists are predicting more volatility in the year ahead as the path forward becomes less clear.
Last year “was simply a period of ‘risk on,’” Jefferies strategists led by Sean Darby wrote in a note. “Peering into 2022, we expect volatility to rise, meaning that the return per unit of risk comes to the forefront.”
Oil edged higher as Libyan output fell before an OPEC+ meeting on Tuesday to discuss production policy.
What to watch this week:
- Numerous markets closed on Monday
- FOMC meeting minutes scheduled for release on Wednesday
- Fed’s Bullard discusses the U.S. economy and monetary policy in an event on Thursday
- Fed’s Daly discusses monetary policy on a panel Friday
- ECB’s Schnabel speaks on a panel Saturday
For more market analysis, read our MLIV blog.
Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
- S&P 500 futures rose 0.4% as of 11:46 a.m. in Hong Kong
- Nasdaq 100 futures gained 0.5%
- South Korea’s Kospi index advanced 0.2%
- Taiwan’s Taiex rose 0.2%
- Hang Seng Index declined 0.6%
- Euro Stoxx 50 futures fell 0.1%
Currencies
- The yen weakened 0.2% to 115.28
- The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index gained 0.2%
- The euro fell 0.2% to 1.1344
Bonds
- The yield on 10-year Treasuries closed last week at 1.51%
- Australia’s 10-year yields rose four basis points to 1.67% on Friday
Commodities
- West Texas Intermediate crude gained 0.7% to $75.71 a barrel
- Gold fell 0.2% to $1,825.38 an ounce
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