U.S. Natgas Rises from Five-Month Low as Colder Weather Looms

(Bloomberg) — U.S. natural gas futures rose in thin trading from the lowest level in five months on forecasts for colder weather.

  • Futures for January delivery +2.4% to $3.820/mmbtu at 7:39 a.m. London time
    • Contract closed -6.2% at $3.731 on Dec. 23, after dropping to as low as $3.599, the lowest level for front-month prices since July
    • There was no trading on Friday due to the Christmas holiday weekend in the U.S.
  • Colder-than-usual weather is forecast for the U.S. West Coast, Midwest and Northeast for Jan. 1-5: NOAA
    • Southern region will get warmer-than-normal temperatures
  • Prices are also rising amid firm European demand for LNG, with U.S. shipments diverting to the continent
  • Lower 48 dry gas production ~97.9 bcf Sunday, or +6.6% y/y
  • Lower 48 total gas demand ~83.3 bcf, or -15% y/y
  • Estimated gas flows to LNG export terminals ~12.5 bcf, or -4.5% w/w

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